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God Morgon

Geopolitics · Europe · Sweden · Türkiye · the economy

Topics

The threads we keep following, each one gathering every story and every debate we have published on it.

  • Turkish foreign policy
    63 pieces · last added 21 September 2026 · page created 7 August 2026

    Three crises have given Türkiye something to offer, and in Mecca it signed a joint defence agreement with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. What Ankara wants for itself, the F-35, a seat after UNIFIL, Cyprus and the customs union, is still decided by others.

  • How Europe pays for Ukraine, what it may do at sea, and what Washington would add
    62 pieces · last added 21 September 2026 · page created 7 August 2026

    Europe funds Ukraine with the interest on Russian reserves it has chosen not to confiscate. At sea it uses a different instrument: a flag check under Article 110, which lets a warship stop a tanker but not keep it. In August the US Senate voted for a third route, tariffs on countries that buy Russian oil.

  • The US and Iran at war
    58 pieces · last added 21 September 2026 · page created 7 August 2026

    The war began on 28 February 2026 with American and Israeli strikes that killed Iran's supreme leader. The ceasefires since have broken down, and the June memorandum settled neither of the two questions the war is about: the nuclear programme and the Strait of Hormuz.

  • Hybrid war in Europe
    21 pieces · last added 21 September 2026 · page created 6 September 2026

    Germany blames Russia for an explosive drone found at an airport that supplies Ukraine, and a month on, the EU is still looking for an answer that stops short of military means.

  • Greece and Türkiye in the Aegean
    17 pieces · last added 21 September 2026 · page created 6 September 2026

    The Aegean argument is now fought with marine parks and energy plans, because the one move that would widen Greek waters, from six nautical miles to twelve, is the move Türkiye's parliament called a cause for war in 1995.

  • The Strait of Hormuz
    40 pieces · last added 20 September 2026 · page created 7 August 2026

    The strait carries oil equal to about a fifth of world petroleum liquids consumption and about a fifth of traded liquefied natural gas, and on EIA's June 2025 estimate the pipelines around it hold only some 2.6 million barrels a day of spare capacity, which makes control of passage a lever long before the strait is fully closed.

  • Inflation, the lira and the Turkish economy
    30 pieces · last added 20 September 2026 · page created 7 August 2026

    Official inflation fell to 31.75 percent in July, but the central bank has not moved its policy rate since January, and it named rising energy prices when it last held the rate. Fuel is dearer than a year ago, ministers and the bank blame the war in the Gulf, and the net minimum wage has been frozen since January.

  • The Kurdish peace process
    24 pieces · last added 20 September 2026 · page created 7 August 2026

    Turkey's framework law, in force since 18 August 2026, suspends the sentences of PKK members rather than erasing them. Its deferrals begin only when the National Security Council confirms in the Official Gazette that the group has dissolved and handed over its weapons, and it says nothing about Öcalan's own status.

  • European energy security
    21 pieces · last added 20 September 2026 · page created 7 August 2026

    Europe's firm capacity turns out to be weather-dependent: river-cooled nuclear and hydropower fail in the same weeks a heatwave pushes demand to its peak. Hungary and Romania held their grids together with imports and with large users asked to switch off. The offshore wind Denmark is buying instead is not due to be fully running until 2032, and only if the contracts are signed.

  • The Swedish general election of 13 September 2026
    52 pieces · last added 19 September 2026 · page created 7 August 2026

    Sweden elected 349 members of the Riksdag on 13 September. The Social Democrats, the Left Party, the Centre Party and the Greens took 176 seats to 173, and Ulf Kristersson resigned as prime minister on 17 September. The four percent threshold kept nobody out: all eight parties cleared it, the Liberals by 1.3 points.

  • Ceuta, Schengen and the EU migration pact
    25 pieces · last added 11 September 2026 · page created 7 August 2026

    Spain has checked identity and documents on the sea and air links out of Ceuta ever since it joined Schengen, and the Commission says nobody who got in reached mainland Spain or another member state. Italy answered the crossings with a month of checks on non-EU travellers arriving from Spain, and Spain answered back with checks on travellers from Italy until 7 September. Eight Schengen states had internal border controls notified when the Commission's register was read on 9 August.

  • Türkiye's opposition split
    18 pieces · last added 11 September 2026 · page created 7 August 2026

    A court ousted the CHP's elected leader, 91 of its 135 lawmakers walked out to found the New Party, and the Treasury money stayed with the CHP because state funding follows votes already cast.

  • Sweden's new citizenship requirements also apply to applications already filed
    4 pieces · last added 11 September 2026 · page created 20 September 2026

    Eight years of residence instead of five, knowledge of Swedish and of Swedish society, and an income of about 20,000 kronor a month. The Riksdag voted transitional provisions down by 147 to 146 on 29 April 2026, so the requirements catch the roughly 100,000 people already in the queue. The Social Democrats promise a law giving them the old rules back.

  • Europe's rearmament
    7 pieces · last added 9 September 2026 · page created 23 August 2026

    Europe has given itself until 2030 to be able to defend itself. The EU's credit line is open and paying out, and the military associations say their armies cannot recruit or keep enough people.

  • The West Bank: settler violence and impunity
    5 pieces · last added 9 September 2026 · page created 9 August 2026

    Israeli settlers and soldiers have killed at least 1,100 Palestinians in the occupied West Bank since 7 October 2023, and on B'Tselem's count one Israeli has been charged over such a killing in that time.

  • Turkey's rule of law: jailed mayors and institutions under trustees
    23 pieces · last added 8 September 2026 · page created 7 August 2026

    When a Turkish mayor is jailed for corruption, the interior minister suspends them and their own council elects a stand-in. Appointing a trustee is the terrorism route, not the corruption one. The suspension runs to final judgment, and in the Istanbul case the court has given itself up to twelve and a half years.

  • The Gaza ceasefire and the disarmament of Hamas
    14 pieces · last added 8 September 2026 · page created 7 August 2026

    The ceasefire rests on a twenty-point plan that ties Israeli withdrawal to a disarmament the plan leaves to monitors it never names. A separate agreement in July 2026 was meant to settle the order of steps, and Israel says it never agreed to that one.

  • Sudan's war: the supply chain that keeps it going
    5 pieces · last added 5 September 2026 · page created 13 September 2026

    The UN arms embargo on Sudan covers only Darfur, while a UN fact-finding mission says the weapons, drones and foreign fighters that keep the Rapid Support Forces going arrive through Chad, Libya and Somalia.

  • Europe's heat, fires and drought
    17 pieces · last added 19 August 2026 · page created 7 August 2026

    Europe fights its fires with borrowed aircraft: a country that cannot cope asks the emergency response coordination centre in Brussels for help, other countries offer what they can spare, and the EU pays up to three quarters of the cost. The Union's own planes do not arrive until 2028, and the same heat is emptying the rivers the continent ships on.

  • South Lebanon after UNIFIL
    4 pieces · last added 17 August 2026 · page created 16 August 2026

    The Security Council has told its peacekeeping force in Lebanon to stop operating on 31 December 2026. By mid-July 2026, on Security Council Report's account, it had still not discussed the three options its own Secretary-General put before it, beyond informal contacts among some members. What replaces UNIFIL turns on two questions nobody has settled: whether Israeli troops leave the ground they hold, and whether Hizbullah gives up its weapons.

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