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God Morgon

Geopolitics · Europe · Sweden · Türkiye · the economy
Background

Yemen's war

Yemen's war resumed in July 2026, and on 10 and 11 September the Houthis took the port of Mocha and Perim Island, giving one side of the war control of Bab el-Mandeb, the strait that carries Red Sea traffic toward the Suez Canal.

For more than four years Yemen was in what the UN calls relative calm. On 10 and 11 September 2026 the Houthis took the port of Mocha and then Perim Island, and Yemen's whole Red Sea coast changed hands. The UN special envoy told the Security Council that this renewed war should alarm us all.
Yemen's war

Yemen's war had gone quiet enough to stop being news. The United Nations brokered a two-month truce on 2 April 2022, the parties renewed it twice, and it expired on 2 October 2022. The UN counts more than four years of relative calm from that truce. Euronews dates the return to fighting to July 2026, when the Houthis let an Iranian plane land in defiance of Saudi control of Yemeni airspace and Riyadh struck the airport in reply. The fighting reached the Red Sea coast in September.

In early September the Houthis attacked in Taiz and Hodeidah, and the fighting spread to Marib, al-Jawf and al-Bayda. On Thursday 10 September they took Mocha, a Red Sea port about 75 kilometres from the strait, and government forces pulled back. Tariq Saleh, a member of Yemen's Presidential Leadership Council, called that a tactical withdrawal. The next day Houthi boats reached Perim Island, in the middle of Bab el-Mandeb, and the group also took Dhubab and Murad. Yemen's whole Red Sea coast changed hands in 18 hours, Euronews reported.

Bab el-Mandeb is 18 miles wide at its narrowest and links the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. The US Energy Information Administration estimated 6.2 million barrels a day of oil and petroleum products through it in 2018. For the first half of 2023 it put the Suez Canal, the SUMED pipeline and Bab el-Mandeb together at about 12 percent of seaborne-traded oil. Operators who avoid the Red Sea must round the Cape of Good Hope, which adds weeks and cost, Caroline Rose of the Soufan Center told Euronews.

The government has not accepted the loss of Mocha. On 10 September its field commanders told Al Jazeera that attempts to retake the port were under way. State broadcaster Saba TV had reported that the army retook Tabbat al-Khazan, in the Jabal Habashi district west of Taiz, on Friday 4 September; the Houthis did not comment. Rashad al-Alimi, who heads the Presidential Leadership Council, says Mocha and the strait are a regional and international matter tied to global trade, and has called on the international community to intervene.

The war runs inside Yemen and across the Saudi border. On Saturday 19 September the Saudi-led coalition fighting the Houthis said it had intercepted a ballistic missile aimed at Riyadh at dawn, and Saudi authorities reported no dead and no damage. The UN migration agency said on 11 September that the offensive had killed more than 500 people and displaced about 46,000. Government military sources, quoted by Euronews, said they did not know the fate of more than 2,000 soldiers besieged on the Hanish islands.

”This renewed war should alarm us all. It effectively marks the end of the relative calm that Yemen has experienced for over four years since the UN-brokered truce.”
Hans GrundbergUN Special Envoy for Yemen

The numbers

The 2022 UN truce: start, renewals and expiry
The truce took effect on 2 April 2022 and was meant to run two months. The parties renewed it on 2 June and extended it again on 2 August, and it expired on 2 October 2022.
Width of Bab el-Mandeb at its narrowest point
18 miles
18 miles, which the EIA says leaves two 2-mile-wide channels, one for inbound and one for outbound traffic.
Oil and petroleum products through Bab el-Mandeb, 2018
6.2m barrels a day
An estimated 6.2 million barrels a day of crude oil, condensate and refined products, up from 5.1 million a day in 2014.
Share of seaborne-traded oil on the Red Sea routes, first half of 2023
about 12%
About 12 percent, counting the Suez Canal, the SUMED pipeline and Bab el-Mandeb together.
Distance from Mocha to the Bab el-Mandeb strait
Roughly 75 kilometres, on the UN special envoy's account to the Security Council.
Households newly displaced across Yemen, 3 to 10 September 2026
Over 11,400 households, most of them in Taiz and southern Hodeidah, on humanitarian actors' count as the UN special envoy relayed it. The unit is the household, not the individual.
Killed and displaced in the Houthi offensive, to 11 September 2026
500+ killed
More than 500 killed and about 46,000 people displaced, the UN migration agency said on 11 September 2026. These are individuals, counted by a different body and a day later than the UN special envoy's household figure.
Date the Houthis completed control of the strait
11 September 2026, when Houthi fighters reached Perim Island in the middle of the strait, the day after Mocha fell.
First air-raid alert in Riyadh since the escalation began in July 2026
19 September 2026. The Saudi-led coalition fighting the Houthis said it intercepted a ballistic missile aimed at the capital, and Saudi authorities reported no dead and no damage.

What the comparison shows

Where they agree

Commercial shipping is the one subject all three raise. Grundberg asks the Houthis to stop attacks and threats against commercial vessels. Al-Alimi ties Mocha and the strait to global trade and wants the international community to act. Saree describes navigation as safe for everyone but Saudi ships.

Where they split

Saree says there is no problem for shipping and the other two say there is. He calls navigation safe for everyone but Saudi ships. Grundberg asks the Houthis to stop attacks and threats against commercial vessels, and al-Alimi says Bab el-Mandeb cannot become another Strait of Hormuz. Both of those ask someone to change what the Houthis do at the strait.

What nobody is saying

Saree calls navigation safe for everyone except Saudi ships. He does not say how a shipowner is supposed to establish a vessel's status before entering an 18-mile strait held by one side, or what follows if a ship is judged Saudi.

Who says what

Hans Grundberg, UN Special Envoy for Yemen

He told the Security Council on 10 September 2026 that the offensive had ended more than four years of relative calm since the 2022 truce. He repeated his call on the Houthis to stop attacks inside Yemen and across the Saudi border, and to cease attacks and threats against commercial vessels.

”This renewed war should alarm us all. It effectively marks the end of the relative calm that Yemen has experienced for over four years since the UN-brokered truce.”This renewed war should alarm us all. It effectively marks the end of the relative calm that Yemen has experienced for over four years since the UN-brokered truce.
Rashad al-Alimi, Head of Yemen's Presidential Leadership Council

He says what happened at Mocha and Bab el-Mandeb is not a purely Yemeni affair but a regional and international matter tied to global trade. He called on the international community to intervene to end what the Houthis have done, at the strait and at the port.

”cannot become another Strait of Hormuz”cannot become another Strait of Hormuz
Yahya Saree, Military spokesman for the Houthi movement

He said on the evening of 11 September that shipping is safe for every company except Saudi vessels, which the Houthis have already banned. Euronews presents this as a correction to a Houthi politburo member who had said the group posed no danger at all to Red Sea cargo.

”Maritime navigation is safe for all companies except Saudi ships, which have already been banned”Maritime navigation is safe for all companies except Saudi ships, which have already been banned

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