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God Morgon

Geopolitics · Europe · Sweden · Türkiye · the economy
Background

Total defence: four French frigates, and Sweden's first psychological defence strategy

Sweden treats its military and civil defence as a single whole, totalförsvar. It has signed a 4.3 billion euro contract for four French frigates, the first due in 2030, and its government has presented the country's first national strategy for psychological defence. According to the armed forces, the targets for the new Himars rocket artillery lie hundreds of kilometres behind the front lines of a potential war.

Sweden signed a 4.3 billion euro contract for four French frigates on 1 September 2026, and the first is due in 2030. Five weeks before the signing, the same government had presented Sweden's first national strategy for psychological defence. The election of 13 September 2026 removed that government.
Total defence: four French frigates, and Sweden's first psychological defence strategy

In a piece SVT labels an analysis, its security reporter John Granlund wrote on 7 September 2026 that the new Himars rocket artillery will let Sweden strike targets far behind the front lines. He writes that more and more of Sweden's defence looks like this: a defensive war fought far from Sweden rather than at its own border. The armed forces name the targets: weapons depots and logistics hubs, hundreds of kilometres behind the front lines in a potential war.

On 1 September 2026, aboard the French frigate Amiral Ronarc'h moored in Stockholm, President Emmanuel Macron and Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson signed a 4.3 billion euro contract for four French frigates. The Local reports that the first is due for delivery in 2030. Macron said the ships will carry Aster 30 air-defence interceptors and possibly naval cruise missiles for long-range strikes. He also said Sweden would help support a Paris-led nuclear deterrence scheme.

In March 2026 Macron had unveiled a programme under which France, the EU's only nuclear-armed state, would protect allies with its atomic stockpile, Sweden included. Kristersson said NATO's European pillar keeps strengthening. Macron called the deal a major strategic partnership, with Franco-Swedish cooperation becoming an essential component of the European pillar of defence. European NATO allies worry about Washington's wavering commitment under President Donald Trump, The Local reports, with Russia's war against Ukraine in its fifth year. Sweden joined NATO in 2024, two years after Russia invaded Ukraine.

On 28 July 2026 Kristersson's government presented Sweden's first national strategy for psychological defence. Mandates went to the agencies for psychological defence and for civil defence, the armed forces and the conscription agency. Hostile actors work systematically to create unease and division within and between countries, the government writes. The strategy came weeks before the general election of 13 September 2026, a vote the government had said needed protecting from improper influence by a foreign power. That election removed the government, and Kristersson resigned on 17 September.

Frigates, rocket artillery and a strategy for the population all sit under one word, totalförsvar. The government defines it as the work needed to prepare Sweden for war, in two parts, military defence and civil defence. Carl-Oskar Bohlin, the minister for civil defence, calls psychological defence one of the instruments of total defence, and the strategy's own goal is to fit it more firmly into that whole. No source here connects the frigates to the strategy.

”We are sealing a major strategic partnership, one that is reciprocal, respectful and ambitious.”
Emmanuel MacronPresident of France

The numbers

The contract for the French frigates
4.3 billion
4.3 billion euros for four ships, signed in Stockholm on 1 September 2026.
The reach the new rocket artillery is planned for
Weapons depots and logistics hubs hundreds of kilometres behind the front lines in a potential war, according to the armed forces.
What the psychological defence strategy covers
four
Four areas: work against what the strategy calls improper information influence, the will to defend, media preparedness and communication with the public, and international cooperation.
The election the strategy was written before
The general election was held on 13 September 2026. The government's page on protecting that election says it was important to strengthen resilience against improper influence from a foreign power, citing the security situation and experience from other elections in Europe.
First frigate delivered
2030
In 2030, according to The Local. Sweden announced the purchase of four frigates from Naval Group in May 2026, and the contract was signed on 1 September.
The result of the 13 September election
176 to 173
The opposition parties took 176 of the Riksdag's 349 seats against 173 for the governing bloc. Kristersson resigned on 17 September 2026.
Government formation: where it stood on 2 October 2026
No new prime minister had been voted on. On Friday 2 October the speaker, Andreas Norlén, gave Magdalena Andersson (S) the task of resuming, from Monday 5 October, her soundings on forming a government the Riksdag can tolerate. She would report to him by 12 October at the latest, Norlén said, and a vote on a prime minister would be held once that task had ended.

What the comparison shows

Where they agree

The Local's report of the signing says Macron and Kristersson both stressed the need for greater European autonomy in defence, and both used the phrase European pillar. Bohlin's subject is the home front rather than Europe.

Where they split

Macron's European pillar of defence and Kristersson's European pillar of NATO are not the same institution: one stands in Europe, the other inside the alliance. Macron alone offered allies protection from France's nuclear arsenal.

What nobody is saying

No source here prices the Himars purchase. SVT calls Himars American rocket artillery and gives no maker, no cost and no date for the buy, so the frigates' 4.3 billion euros is the only price on the page. Nobody says how the will to defend is to be measured, although it is one of the four areas the strategy covers.

Who says what

Carl-Oskar Bohlin, Minister for Civil Defence in the Kristersson government

States and state-like actors are constantly challenging Swedes' trust in their own society, he says. He presents the strategy as the answer, one plan to strengthen resilience in what he calls the cognitive domain.

”Vår försvarsvilja sitter mellan öronen.”Our will to defend is in our heads.
Ulf Kristersson, Prime Minister of Sweden, who signed the frigate contract and resigned on 17 September 2026

Puts the frigate purchase in a European frame rather than a transatlantic one. The pillar he names is the European pillar of NATO, something growing inside the alliance rather than alongside it.

”Everyone now knows that in Europe we must take greater responsibility for our own security.”Everyone now knows that in Europe we must take greater responsibility for our own security.
Emmanuel Macron, President of France

Presents the contract as a partnership rather than a sale, and places it inside a European pillar of defence. He also offered allies protection from France's atomic stockpile, Sweden included.

”We are sealing a major strategic partnership, one that is reciprocal, respectful and ambitious.”We are sealing a major strategic partnership, one that is reciprocal, respectful and ambitious.

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