Sweden · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Moderates hit five-year high in SVT/Verian's first post-election poll, Liberals fall below threshold

SVT/Verian's first poll since the election, fielded September 28 to October 11, gives the Moderates 22.3 percent, up from 19.9 percent on election day and their highest level in five years, while the Liberals fall to 3.7 percent, below the four-percent threshold for parliamentary seats. A TV4/Novus poll the same week shows a similar shift: the Social Democrats down to 25.9 percent and the Liberals down to 3.9 percent, though it did not give the Moderates' new absolute level. Verian's Per Söderpalm believes the Moderate gain largely reflects former Moderate voters who tactically backed the Liberals now returning, in the middle of the ongoing government-formation crisis.
More on this: The Swedish general election of 13 September 2026